The first price test of 1.3130 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and was proven right. Shortly after, the second test of 1.3130 happened when the MACD indicator was in the overbought area, confirming the entry point for selling the pound. All this led to the pair falling by more than 40 pips. Pound sellers ignored weak U.S. manufacturing data, and now only strong reports on the PMI for the UK services sector and the composite PMI index can stop them. Strong services sector activity will help GBP/USD recover in the first half of the day, while weak data will only add to the problems. For the intraday strategy, I will rely more on scenarios No. 1 and 2.
Buy Signal
Scenario No 1: Today, I plan to buy the pound when it reaches the entry point around 1.3120, plotted by the green line on the chart, with the goal of rising to the level of 1.3150, plotted by the thicker green line on the chart. Around 1.3150, I plan to exit long positions and open short positions in the opposite direction, counting on a movement of 30-35 pips in the reverse direction from the level. A substantial rise in the pound can be expected after strong PMI data. Important: Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and starting to rise from it.
Scenario No 2: I also plan to buy the pound today in case of two consecutive price tests of 1.3103 when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a reverse market upturn. One can expect growth to the opposite levels of 1.3120 and 1.3150.
Sell Signal
Scenario No 1: Today, I plan to sell the pound after testing the level of 1.3103, plotted by the red line on the chart, which will lead to a rapid decline in GBP/USD. The key target for sellers will be the level of 1.3074, where I will exit short positions and immediately open long positions in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction from that level). Selling the pound should only be considered after weak data. Important: Before selling, ensure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and is just starting to decline from it.
Scenario No 2: I also plan to sell the pound today in case of two consecutive price tests of 1.3120 when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a reverse market downturn. One can expect a decline to the opposite levels of 1.3103 and 1.3074.
What's on the Chart:
Thin green line: the entry price at which you can buy the trading instrument.
Thick green line: the estimated price at which you can set Take Profit or manually close positions, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
Thin red line: the entry price at which you can sell the trading instrument.
Thick red line: an estimated price at which you can place Take Profit or manually close positions, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD indicator: when entering the market, it is essential to be guided by overbought and oversold zones.
Important: Novice traders in the forex market need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports are released to avoid getting caught in sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always place stop orders to minimize losses. You must set stop orders to avoid losing your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade in large volumes.
Remember, a clear trading plan, like the one I've outlined, is essential for successful trading. Making impulsive decisions based on the current market situation is a losing strategy for novice intraday traders.Pentru mai multe detalii, va invitam sa vizitati stirea originala.
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