Mexican Peso Strengthens Amid Tariff Exemption
The Mexican peso has shown resilience, advancing towards 19.97 per USD after recovering from its nearly month-low position of 20.47 on March 31st. This recovery is largely attributed to Mexico's exemption from the reciprocal tariffs recently imposed by U.S. President Trump. This exclusion positions Mexico advantageously compared to significant trading partners such as China, the European Union, and Japan, who are subject to hefty tariffs. This shift has eased trade uncertainties and increased investor confidence. Moreover, the potential for nearshoring has been bolstered as businesses look for alternatives to regions affected by tariffs. Despite ongoing trade concerns, including potential tariffs on Mexican auto exports, Mexico's broader access to the U.S. market remains largely unaffected. Coupled with the attractive carry trade opportunities due to high interest rates, the peso continues its upward trajectory. In contrast, the U.S. dollar faces downward pressure amidst economic slowdown fears, highlighted by a sharp drop in the ISM services PMI to a nine-month low, accompanied by escalating recession concerns.
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