Offshore Yuan Slips Amid US-China Tensions
The offshore yuan has depreciated to approximately 7.36 per dollar, influenced by growing deflationary concerns and escalating trade tensions between the US and China. China's inflation data for March revealed a consecutive month of declining consumer prices, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.1%. This drop, although smaller than the 0.7% decline in February, fell short of expectations. Additionally, producer prices experienced a steeper decline of 2.5%, worsening from February's 2.2% fall and exceeding predictions. These statistics underscore persistent deflationary pressures, sparking apprehensions about China's economic recovery and strengthening the argument for additional monetary easing in the context of rising tariff risks. Although US President Trump has announced a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs for non-retaliatory nations, tariffs on Chinese imports have been raised to 125% in retaliation for Beijing's countermeasures. In response, China is planning to implement counter-strategies targeting US companies and is seeking to enhance trade, investment, and industrial cooperation with the European Union.
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