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China’s 10-year government bond yield was little changed around 1.76% on Monday, holding at a one-week high as investors weighed robust domestic data against lingering geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Iran has reportedly proposed reopening the Strait of Hormuz in talks with the United States, after weekend efforts to revive negotiations stalled. Earlier signs of de-escalation had sparked a risk-on mood, but sentiment has since turned more cautious as repeated diplomatic signals fail to produce tangible progress.
On the domestic front, industrial profits rose 15.5% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, up from 15.2% in January–February, underscoring the resilience of China’s industrial sector even as external risks cloud the global outlook. Meanwhile, early signs of stabilisation are appearing in producer prices after more than three years of deflationary pressure, easing cost burdens for industrial firms that have struggled with squeezed margins amid volatile input costs and softer demand.
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