GBP/USD. April 23rd. The trading system "Regression Channels". No news, just rumors of Theresa May's possible resignation

4-hour timeframe


Technical details:

The upper linear regression channel: direction - up.

The lower linear regression channel: direction - down.

Moving average (20; smoothed) - down.

CCI: -77.3430

Volatility on the GBP/USD currency pair remains minimal. In part, this is due to the same lack of important macroeconomic information from the UK and the States. However, most of the news traders are waiting for it from the UK. When it became known that Brexit was transferred, the markets frankly calmed down and the UK government, which previously gave interviews almost every day. Now there is no hurry, so there is almost no news from the Parliament and Theresa May. The only thing that can be noted is the third vote of no confidence that could threaten Theresa May, which can be issued by her party members. However, firstly, under current legislation, it is impossible to issue a vote twice within one year. The members of the Conservative Party have already explained that with certain changes in the rules for which they are ready to go, this option is possible. But what's next? Next will be another parliamentary vote, and it may well turn out to be about the same situation as with Brexit. That is, Theresa May's resignation will be blocked by a majority vote for a third time. It's not necessary to say that such votes cause a smile more often than a serious attitude towards them. The political turmoil in the United Kingdom continues to cause confusion among many world leaders, and especially EU leaders. Thus, we still believe that Theresa May will remain at the helm.

Nearest support levels:

S1 - 1.2985

S2 - 1.2970

Nearest resistance levels:

R1 - 1.3000

R2 - 1.3016

R3 - 1.3031

Trading recommendations:

The pair GBP/USD continues a weak downward movement, which is still limited by the level of 1.3000, despite the fact that it has already been formally overcome. Low volatility persists.

Buy orders will formally become relevant after fixing the pair above the moving average line with the goal of 1.3123 – the upper limit of the side channel.

In addition to the technical picture should also take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.

Explanations for illustrations:

The upper linear regression channel is the blue lines of the unidirectional movement.

The lower linear channel is the purple lines of the unidirectional movement.

CCI is the blue line in the indicator regression window.

The moving average (20; smoothed) is the blue line on the price chart.

Murray levels - multi-colored horizontal stripes.

Heiken Ashi is an indicator that colors bars in blue or purple.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company -

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