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China's 10-year government bond yield remained largely unchanged at approximately 1.88% this past Friday. This stability came about despite a slight increase in consumer inflation, which was not significant enough to alter expectations for ongoing accommodating monetary policy. In December 2025, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 0.8% on a year-on-year basis from November's 0.7%, representing the highest level since February 2023. Nevertheless, overall inflationary pressures remain minimal. The average inflation rate for 2025 was stagnant, marking the weakest result since 2009, and fell noticeably short of the government's target of approximately 2%. Concurrently, producer prices experienced a 1.9% year-on-year decline, an improvement from the 2.2% drop recorded in November and somewhat better than the market's forecasted 2% decrease. Earlier in the week, the People's Bank of China reaffirmed its commitment to bolstering economic growth, stressing its willingness to lower the reserve requirement ratio and cut policy rates to ensure sufficient liquidity and maintain consistently favorable financial conditions.
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